Government approval on all three issues has risen in the Red Wall, recovering from a particularly bad poll in late January to now stand at -27% on the economy (+14), -41% on the NHS (+13), and -40% on immigration (+7). The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. politics . For Sunak personally, his approval rating, despite some fluctuations, ends February more or less where it was at the end of January. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. Nevertheless, this week highlighted some early if incomplete signs that Sunak is starting to change the Tory party. In recent months, trade unions have threatened to make further cuts to their funding, too. He is also said to regularly chat with Starmer about the job of opposition leader and what to expect if he enters No. Progressive politics is out in the cold. Some of the more detailed polling questions, which have given Johnson the benefit of the doubt all year, have also turned. The king played his symbolic role. While those on the Corbynite left consider the cash drive morally suspect, the right of the party asserts its the sign of a leader prepared for power. Neither Labour or the Cabinet Office denied a report by Sky News' that the Labour leader who current polls suggest could . But his handling of the Northern Ireland protocol changes this week suggests a leader with more in the tank than critics have allowed. Prince Harry set to lose crucial royal role as bitter feud could se 'Whats up with government by WhatsApp? First, it has suggested that Sunak is capable of rebuilding at least some of the reputation for Conservative competence. A poll released on the Monday of conference put Labour 17 points . Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt leaves 11 Downing Street, LondonJames Manning. In addition to leading a party with a commanding position in our voting intention polls, Starmer himself holds healthy approval ratings in all our tracker polls. To me, Starmer is hyper-competent as a manager and organiser. Sunaks challenge will be to convince the country that its current problems lie more with global events than his own party, but that will be very, very hard given how strongly people feel about this. The Windsor Framework "gives enough" to end the Stormont stalemate, Sir Keir Starmer believes. Even in the lowest months of the summer, there was no serious talk of a leadership challenge. The get together was reeling from its worst efficiency on the poll field since 1935, riven by inner divisions, below hearth over its report of tackling antisemitism and going through an seemingly unassailable Boris Johnson atop an 80-seat majority. Truss is hampered by being deeply uncharismatic - possibly even more so than Starmer, and in stark contrast to her immediate predecessor, Boris Johnson. . He was given a peerage by Blair in 1998 and acted as an unofficial adviser to the former PM through his 10-year reign. Rishi Sunak is shaping up to be a prime minister Keir Starmer should be wary of. Left-wing Labour MP Diane Abbott said Starmer seems to be reverting to the worst practices of New Labour., What business will want, because theyre giving us all this money, is theyll want results, she said. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to "mold" Labour's election plans and get its "fingerprints" on his policy agenda. As popular anger mounts, Starmers lack of vision for a sustainable future risks plunging parliamentary politics into even deeper crisis. A senior Labour source said: We know what needs to be done between now and the next election and are ticking everything off on the list. Instead, unlike Liz Truss, he prioritised the things where he could begin to shift the dial and build some political capital. BMG are members of the British Polling Council and abide by their rules. . His job approval rating is bumping along at -26. Sir Keir Starmer's decision to make Sue Gray his chief of staff proves he is a "man of the establishment" and will harm Labour's chances of winning the Red Wall, a former Conservative party chairman has claimed Sir Jake Berry said the appointment underlined that the Labour leader would run a . It is, admittedly, early days for such speculation. Starmer clearly believes very firmly in the corrupt FPTP system as . The 1997 quip by Mandelson that he was intensely relaxed about people getting filthy rich as long as they pay their taxes became something of guiding principle for the last Labour governments fundraising efforts. At the same time, the Governments net competency rating is up in both the Red Wall and the Blue Wall, by three points to -35% in the Red Wall and by two points to -36% in the Blue Wall, respectively. But worse, in colluding with the narrative of the Tories and establishment media, he has made a dirty word of socialism of any kind. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll. Last modified on Thu 2 Mar 2023 08.43 EST. He has banned Labours front bench from joining picket lines, an edict that has been defied by several of them and looked all the more risible as even barristers have begun taking industrial action. To top it all, Trusss government has vowed to let the energy sector continue raking in inflated profits rather than impose a crowd-pleasing windfall tax. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. But Starmers success - assuming it can be maintained - has come at an extraordinarily high political price. Alli, reportedly worth upward of 100 million, is plugged into to Londons arts, media and business sets. The big winner in all this, however, is disillusionment. In a similar vein, Starmer has strictly distanced Labour from the spate of strikes breaking out as workers struggle with escalating costs, despite earlier committing towork shoulder to shoulder with the unions to stand up for working people, tackle insecure work and low pay Oppose Tory attacks on the right to take industrial action and the weakening of workplace rights., While Starmer has agreed, when pressed, that workers have a right to strike in principle, his office has condemned strikes, like the rail unions, when they actually take place. The protocol deal has not yet been approved. Meanwhile, he has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. That has included reneging on his commitment to take back into public ownership key utilities, including gas and electricity. In practice, however, that appears to mean prioritising the supposed needs of the City and major corporations while paying only lip service to the struggle of ordinary people. If Starmers mid-year trough was the mathematical product of Johnsons vaccine-induced rise, his end-year breakthrough could be dismissed as the mere reflection of the prime ministers unpopularity but it feels more soundly based than that. Such criteria would presumably be based on an assessment of public opinion in Scotland over a sustained period: a consistent, long-running lead for independence in opinion polls, say, or in election results (measured, as the SNP have recently suggested, in terms of a vote share of over 50 per cent for independence-supporting parties). standard.co.uk - Miriam Burrell 5h. After three years of near-destitution brought on by COVID-19, falling membership numbers and reduced union funding the party is now beginning to look cashed-up. The party was clearly in the middle of a dramatic transformation. A moderate Labour MP said we cant be shy about raising money from private individuals, especially if they want to win big at the next election. For many, he is also indelibly linked to other New Labour cash scandals, including a rowover a watered-down advertising banfor Formula 1 just after F1 boss Bernie Ecclestone gave millions to the party. What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. For most of the year, as the government enjoyed the protection against the illness of unpopularity afforded by a successful vaccination programme, it looked as if the forward march of Labour had halted. UK ; About ; For business . But among Labour voters, 65% were in favour, and 18% opposed. Leader of the British Labour Party, Keir Starmer, says that if nothing changes, Great Britain's GDP per capita would be lower than that of Poland in 7 years, and that of Hungary and Romania in 17 years. Indeed, Labours biggest backer, the union Unite, has reduced its contributions to the party in retaliation for Starmers efforts to shift away from the socialist policies of Corbyn. It also enjoys some electoral advantages over Labour. Labour ahead of Tories by two points, but Labours leader failing to make a personal breakthrough. Starmer had begun the year in a strong position, ready for the next leg of the long march up Labours electoral mountain. Even Blairs former manager for high value fundraising Vanessa Bowcock is back in a similar role in Starmers office. Its leader, Sharon Graham, has said of union funding for Labour: Im not sure were getting the best value for it.. Keir Starmer is set to appoint Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated the partygate scandal, as his chief of staff.. Gray, who has a fearsome reputation for probing ministerial misbehaviour and ethics concerns, has left her role as head of the Union and Constitution Directorate at the Cabinet Office and is soon expected to join Starmer's team. A survey of party members in March this year found that Tony Blair was just as popular with them as Jeremy Corbyn. Yet Starmer found himself going backwards, as Labour sank gently in the opinion polls. Although they remain neck-and-neck on 38% each in the traditionally Conservative-voting Blue Wall, Starmer has opened up a lead of 7% in the Red Wall constituencies (three points lower than the 10-point margin he held at the end of January) and a 9% lead across the whole of Great Britain (three points more than at the end of January). Most of what was unveiled notably the green and red lanes and the dispute resolution system has been on the table for years. The remainder say they neither support nor oppose or they do now know). Now all the polls are reporting not just that Labour is in the lead but that people would rather have Starmer as prime minister than the incumbent. The Lib Dems are on 13% with the Greens on 6%. The politics of selling it was always going to be a much tougher task. This takeover of party machinery has crucially extended to the partys finances and fundraising efforts. So will his left-wing opponents, and mainstream MPs who . Sir Keir Starmer will deliver his conference speech today with the party in a commanding position in the polls (Picture: Metro/YouGov) Labour has hit an historic opinion poll high after a . Well, Starmer saw Boris off, and his successor Liz Truss - and Labour have had an opinion poll lead for the last 474 days. Approval in the Blue Wall is no better, with the Governments approval on immigration down by one point to -44%, although it has improved its rating on the economy (-33%, +5), and the NHS (-49%, +2) since January. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leader's performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. R&WS Research Team. Keir Starmers looking to the past and talking up a business role in the future in drive to fill party coffers. Support for the Labour Party has grown in the aftermath of the Autumn Statement, a new poll reveals today.Aaron Chown. From the (limited) media I read it was pretty well received and will maintain/increase Labour's lead in the opinion polls. Blairs most important fundraiser during his premiership Michael Levy once referred to as Lord Cashpoint also has a role in tapping up wealthy donors. I want our volunteers and staff to have the best pamphlets and resources and information possible, they said. Having endured a torrid few months, Rishi Sunak is at least ending February on a personal high. Sorting the protocol was in that category, a sensible bit of ground-clearing and confidence-building. Approval ratings for former party leaders, Preferred Prime Minister and Chancellor polling, Question asked for joint approval of Ed Davey & Mark Pack, Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election, Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union (2020present), https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Leadership_approval_opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election&oldid=1141047708, Leadership approval opinion polling for United Kingdom general elections, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from November 2022, All Wikipedia articles in need of updating, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from January 2022, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from October 2022, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 23 February 2023, at 02:35. He is very much, here is the problem and this is the solution. Shadow Cabinet ministers have been urged to attend as many dinners with prospective donors as possible, with the leaders office sometimes pairing ministers with wealthy individuals. Theres no complacency but we remain confident of the strategy we have to get Keir to No 10., Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. BMG Research interviewed a representative sample of 2,091 GB adults online between 16 and 18 August. Potential Tory rebels faced a pincer movement of private pressure at Westminster alongside assured ministerial actions on the national stage. The next election is expected in 2024, but it could be sooner if Liz Truss's huge tax giveaway backfiresmore than it already has. Ipsos publishes the latest results of UK opinion polls and voting intention. Labours new HQ in Southwark is described by party officials as a serious upgrade, with the NEC member quoted earlier calling it a proper campaign HQ, like it was in 1997., The party has also been on a hiring spree in recent months, advertising for dozens of new positions across the country. Our one rule for them framing is paying off, said the source, with Johnson proving it to be true time and again. Inflation, higher interest rates, energy price hikes and strikes ensured a grim winter. Correlations identify things people with a positive opinion of Keir Starmer are more likely to rate positively than the . Focaldata found that Starmer is regarded as more trustworthy than Johnson, better equipped to make tough decisions and more competent. In a speech in July he said rebooting the economy would be a Labour governments defining task. In some ways, the content of the protocol deal was the relatively straightforward bit. . While their lead of 9% in the Blue Wall represents a slight one-point narrowing in comparison to the end of last month, the partys lead over the Conservatives has altogether grown during February by two points in the Red Wall and by six points nationally. . Public opinion. For years, we shocked people with Corbyn as leader in the worst way possible and we now need to shock them in positive ways, the shadow Cabinet minister quoted earlier said. Starmer is ahead in best PM polling. This is especially true for Labour voters, more than half of whom blame Truss (44%) or Sunak (10%) for the current crisis while only 11% blame global events. He also had the shameless Johnson and the Faragiste Tory press bursting to make trouble. It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement and still affirms on its website that its affiliation with leading unions is what makes [Labour] unique. The Partygate investigator Sue Gray is a likely candidate to be Keir Starmer's chief of staff, as the Labour leader searches for a veteran civil . The Leader of the Opposition leads by ten points or more on being in touch with ordinary people (39% to 20%), they understand the problems facing Britain (50% to 37%), they are an . And, in a further nod to the business-friendly "New Labour" days of the 1990s and 2000s, he's even tapping Tony Blair's moneymen to fund his bid for power. It also helps that Starmer is the first Labour leader since Blair to do it himself he actually seems to enjoy fundraising.. LONDON Keir Starmer is reportedly considering hiring Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated pandemic rule-busting parties in Boris Johnson's government, as his chief of staff. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jeremy Corbyn, the former leader of the Labour Party until 4 April 2020. When asked who they blamed for the crisis, voters placed equal weight on Liz Truss (21%) and the war in Ukraine (21%). Jacob Rees-Mogg has joined in with the chorus of Tories trying to undermine Sue Gray 's report, after her new appointment as Keir Starmer's chief of staff - but his own words have now come . Boris Johnson's opinion poll lead over Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer as the "best prime minister" for the UK evaporated on Monday, as Downing Street tried to stop the fuel crisis descending . Leadership approval ratings Rishi . But the problem runs deeper. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers in Europe. Truss and her party have dealt him the easiest of hands, even if he continues to play it as cautiously as possible. New polling shows that Muslims in the UK are losing faith in the Labour Party, driven partly by unfavourable views towards leader Keir Starmer. This was a fall of six points, while Mr Johnson saw his popularity climb by eight points to 40%. The poll also found voters backing Keir Starmer over Rishi Sunak. And in refusing to countenance any dissent from within Labour, or entertain any meaningful pluralism in its ranks - starkly illustrated by his approaches both to support for Nato and the monarchy - he has echoed not only the rights agenda but its authoritarian instinctstoo. Labour leader Keir Starmer has demanded the Covid inquiry release findings by the end of the year amid fresh criticism of former Health Secretary . The head of the opposition has resolutely avoided offering any kind of vision for Britain, fearful it might be construed as vaguely socialist, and has even been averse to robustly challenging the ruling Tory party. In many ways this looks rather like 1996 with Blair and Brown promising Tory-like spending controls and picking fights with the left of the party. Poll says 56% of people think . But he did an important job this week. Recent polls also suggest the party has a clear double-digit lead in the 23 June byelection in Wakefield, the type of seat it will need to win back if it hopes to win a majority or form the government at the next election. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leaders performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. Johnson was comprehensively outmanoeuvred. More broadly, this will be central to boosting the nations productivity going forward. But the signs are that there will be little enthusiasm for a Labour Party led by him as a replacement. Keir Starmer faced a grilling from students during a visit to St. Columb's College on Friday. "However, at least then Labour could console itself that their leader was new and making a positive impression. Hence some of the changes to the leaders office which he has made since then. In-depth reporting, data and actionable intelligence for policy professionals all in one place. The non-Corbynite majority of Labour MPs didnt have an alternative candidate either; hence their mood of gloom and fatalism. LONDON (Reuters) -Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked as his new chief of staff Sue Gray, a government official whose investigation helped catalyse the exit . Keir Starmer. politics . Starmer has refused to cash in on the most visible sign of growing public discontent at Tory policies that continue to redistribute wealth upwards. While 28% think Johnson would make the best prime minister, 26% opted for Starmer. If Blairites are now on the rise once again in the Labour Party, what about the man himself? The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. Sunak has had luck along the way. The damage done by the polarisation, recklessness, venality and destructiveness of the May-Johnson-Truss years casts long shadows that will shape the politics of this decade. Instead, he has focused on reassuring voters - and the billionaire-owned media - that his party embodies the values associated with old-school conservatism: responsible belt-tightening, support for business, patriotism, law and order, the monarchy and militarism. However, it is not all bad news for Starmer. Labours leads range from a yawning 31-point gap in our GB poll on the NHS (that lead representing a one-point gain from late January) to a relatively narrow four-point lead over the Conservatives in the Blue Wall as the party most trusted to manage the economy (32% to 28%, down from a 35% to 25% lead in our last Blue Wall Poll of January). In his party conference speech in which Corbyn supporters were reduced to impotent heckling Starmer derided Johnson as a trivial politician; in the Commons, Starmer repeated the line the joke is wearing thin. This represents a five-point jump for Labour when compared to polling carried out by the channel last week, and no movement at all for the Conservatives, who remain on 21% of the vote. Left-wing party members who joined during Corbyns tenure have been fleeing in droves, depriving Labour of desperately needed income to fight the next general election. Too soon for that. Labour are on 36% of the vote, with the Tories up one point on 34%. In March, Boris Johnson's net approval rating rose to +3, meaning that the PM now has a better net approval rating than Keir Starmer for the first time since April 2020. In late June, he formally ditched those promises, saying Labour would be starting from scratch. Different polling companies report widely differing figures on this question, but even Savanta ComRes, long the least favourable to Starmer, now has him two points ahead of Johnson when people are asked: Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? Starmer on 33 per cent and Johnson on 31 per cent are both eclipsed by dont know on 36 per cent, but politics is a game of relative advantage. The ex-PM said during his think tanks Future of Britain conference last year that he wants to help influence the policy agenda in Westminster over the next decade. Having dealt with the party machinery at the last conference, the plan was always that the next one will focus on setting out our plans for Britain. As a strategy to win an election the speech "did the trick". And, in a further nod to the business-friendly New Labour days of the 1990s and 2000s, hes even tapping Tony Blairs moneymen to fund his bid for power. Only 17% say a Conservative government with Rishi Sunak as prime minister. Lucy Powell described partygate investigator Sue Gray - who plans to join Labour as Sir Keir Starmer's chief of staff - as "impartial" and "really good at her job". Some 55% of people polled said they were dissatisfied with the Prime Minister, compared to 49% in December. At various dates in the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders.
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