Copyright 2015-2023, NM Political Report. Is Beyonce the GOAT? A bill that would require new homes to be built with the capability to charge electric vehicles and would require contractors to offer solar arrays for new homes passed the House Energy, Environment and Natural Resources Committee on a 7-4 vote on Thursday. Here are some of the closest - and most closely watched. Danehy. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent for topline questions, while subpopulations will have larger margins of error. The governor announced her renewal of the public health emergency order on Friday would be the final one, and it would expire on March 31. A poll released on Monday showed a closer race than two other polls released earlier in the week. The remaining votes, in 2020, were counted by 7:30 p.m. The law also creates automatic voter registration at the Department of Motor Vehicles. Ronchetti has advocated for a ban on abortion after 15 weeks of pregnancy, except in cases of rape, incest and when a mothers life is at risk. With 100,000 votes counted, the San Francisco Board of Elections put votes for the recall of Chesa Boudin, the district attorney, at 61 percent. Michelle Lujan Grisham leading Republican Mark Ronchetti 49 percent to 46 percent, following two polls over the weekend that showed the Democrat with heftier 7- or 8-point leads. The 2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New Mexico.The election coincided with various other federal and state elections.Primary elections were held on June 7. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. As has been the case in previous polls, Lujan Grishams lead is buoyed by support among women. Refresh page for latest results. The poll, conducted by GQR Research/EDF Action, shows Grisham leading by about four percentage points with 48 percent compared to Ronchetti's 44 percent. NM Political Report (https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2022/06/20/poll-lujan-grisham-with-narrow-lead-at-start-of-general-election/). In an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, 50% say they or someone in their household has lost hours or a job due to the pandemic. 9. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (AP) A 14-year-old New Mexico boy accused of shooting and killing a classmate in 2021 has pleaded no contest to a charge of second-degree murder, prosecutors said Thursday. 5. Public Policy Polling called landlines and text messaged those without landlines. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Read more about the methodology. She was first elected in 2018 with 57.2% of the vote. Home Search Translate. A poll released last week by a Republican-funded firm that has received high marks for accuracy showing Ronchetti with a one-point lead. Michelle Lujan Grisham in her race for reelection this year, according to a recent internal polling memo. That poll came on the heels of an Albuquerque Journal poll released Sunday that showed Lujan Grisham with an 8-point advantage, or 50 percent to 42 percent, over Ronchetti buoyed by strong support among women, Hispanics and voters with a four-year college degree. Polls closed in the state at 7 p.m. local time, or 9 p.m. EST. The same is true for Ronchetti in the conservative stronghold of eastern New Mexico. A new Yahoo/YouGov poll revealed that the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis remains behind former President Donald Trump in a race for the 2024 Republican State of Utah Not all percentages will add up to 100 percent because of rounding. Sorry, there are no recent results for popular videos. Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls. Ronchetti, a former meteorologist, won a five-way Republican primary easily earlier this month, while Lujan Grisham was unopposed. See election results, a county-by-county map and more for the New Mexico Governor election on Nov. 8, 2022. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) holds a 3-percentage point lead over Republican Mark Ronchetti in the New Mexico gubernatorial race, according to a new Emerson College Polling-The Hill survey relea Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Lujan Grishams lead also largely comes thanks to Hispanic or Latino voters, 64 percent of whom would vote for the incumbent, compared to 28 percent for Ronchetti and 3 percent for Bedonie. Michelle Lujan Grisham defeated Republican Mark Ronchetti in New Mexico's gubernatorial race. AP will tabulate and declare winners in 55 contested elections in New Mexico, including Governor, three U.S. House races, seven other statewide races and six statewide ballot issues. Your account has been registered, and you are now logged in. * Incumbent A poll commissioned by KOB-TV showed Lujan Grisham with a 7-point lead, or 46 percent to 39 percent. 50. ET. 2018: Grisham (D) +14.2 | Martinez (R) +14.6. Period. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. NEW MEXICO (KRQE) - Democratic incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham has won New Mexico's governor race. ET on Thursday. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. AP will tabulate and declare winners in 55 contested elections in New Mexico, including Governor, three U.S. House races, seven other statewide races and six statewide ballot issues. For other uses, see Utah (disambiguation). Early voting in the state started on Oct. 11 and ended on Saturday. Legal Statement. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The state or county must start the recount within ten days of the request. Lujan Grisham holds a large lead among those who voted for Biden in 2020, 86 percent to 6 percent, with 4 percent saying they would vote for Bedonie. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. ET and close at 9 p.m. Another 6 percent are undecided. Your real name will be displayed next to your photo for comments, blog posts, and more! This whole abortion issue and how it played out in the campaign works to the advantage of the governor, Sanderoff said, adding Democrats are using similar strategies throughout the nation. Thats according to a new poll conducted by Public Policy Polling for NM Political Report. We're projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022. Absentee ballots are counted once polls close on Election Day. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Not all percentages on questions add up to 100 percent because of rounding. Click the link below to learn about that race. Noteworthy elections. A: State law now allows for same-day voter registration at a precinct once a voter affirms not having voted elsewhere. They spoke to more than 1,000 likely voters in New Mexico. A: There can be a slight shift in votes counted after noon ET on the day after Election Day. By Susan Dunne. What Happened: The national poll of 1,060 registered voters conducted . The Trafalgar group touts that it uses methods designed to get around what it calls the social desirability bias. Basically, the theory is that people will not reveal their true feelings in a poll. ET. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican A bill that would hold adults responsible for keeping guns out of the hands of children passed the Senate largely along party lines Friday. 28 Feb 2023 01:46:32 Sign up for notifications from Insider! Incumbent Gov. Polling in the fiercely competitive and closely watched race for governor of New Mexico is starting to feel like a yo-yo. Delaney Corcoran, a spokeswoman for Lujan Grishams reelection campaign, wrote in a statement the governor isnt taking a single vote for granted. Send us an email. It should have said this poll was of likely voters. Senate. 51 +1. Democratic strongholds are in and around Albuquerque and Santa Fe, while much of the rest of the state favors Republicans. Stay up to date with what you want to know. He will be tough & smart on Crime, the Border & everything else. Lujan Grisham is seeking a second term after winning the election in 2018, easily defeating Steve Pearce, now the chairman of the Republican Party of New Mexico. Democratic incumbents are viewed as safe in the states central and northern districts. Michelle Lujan Grisham, Eddie Moore/AP; Insider, state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Grisham is the 32nd governor of New Mexico. PHOENIX (AP) Kari Lake, the Republican who lost the Arizona governor's race to Democrat Katie Hobbs, has asked the state Supreme Court to review her . Michelle Lujan Grisham is running against Mark Ronchetti. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Last weekend, Sandoval County Commissioner Jay Block was the first Republican to publicly announce his candidacy; GOP candidate Karen Bedonie joined the race this week. A Maryland man has sued a local bar for allegedly banning him from their establishment because he's an "old, white man" Filed on Feb. 18th, the lawsuit says Neal Glessner, 52, used to spend $500 a week at Dan's Restaurant and Taphouse until he was abruptly banned one day allegedly because of his age and race. With 23 days before the November election, New Mexico Democrats held a rally with Planned Parenthood and NARAL Pro-Choice America national leaders in Las Cruces on Saturday to discuss the importance of abortion rights. Projected winner. With cases skyrocketing, some residents of Pima County - which includes Tucson - with serious COVID-19 symptoms have been transferred to Albuquerque . This means the elections officials make sure the ballot is cast legally. Should a candidate declare victory or offer a concession before the AP calls a race, we will cover newsworthy developments in our reporting. Updated: November 9, 2022 - 4:35 PM. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. A Hubbard Broadcasting Company, gives the Trafalgar group a grade of A-. 21 Jan 2022 0. Albuquerque is located in Bernalillo County. The AP may call a statewide or U.S. House race in which the margin between the top two candidates is 0.5% or less, if we determine the lead is too large for a recount to change the outcome. Corcoran wrote Lujan Grisham is campaigning all over the state, emphasizing how much is on the line this election.. ET. Note as well that the vote shift is not uniform across all counties and all races. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. Search our Site: Search for Your Local Elected Officials: News . Ronchetti ran unsuccessfully for Senate in 2020 while coming within 6 percentage points of an experienced rival from a Democratic political dynasty. Michelle Lujan Grisham won re-election on Tuesday, defeating will defeat GOP candidate and local news weatherman Mark Ronchetti. Unofficial Results From The New Mexico Secretary Of State's Office. That speed comes, in part, because elections officials can start validating absentee ballots starting five days prior to Election Day. Polling conducted for the 2022 Governor election in New Mexico. By Tom Danehy. Polls open at 9 a.m. Michelle Lujan Grisham against former network television meteorologist Mark Ronchetti. In the state House of Representatives, Democrats are defending a 45-24 majority as one unaffiliated legislator and the House speaker retire. New Mexico Governor Primary Election Results. Gov. Posted on March 3, 2023 by Constitutional Nobody. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Invalid password or account does not exist. There was a problem saving your notification. The poll found that Lujan Grisham, a Democrat, leads Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti 48 percent to 40 percent among likely voters, with Libertarian candidate Karen Bedonie getting the support of 7 percent. New Hampshire. Republicans have poured money into the governors race in the final months of 2022 campaigning, amid dueling attack ads from independent political committees. The poll is by the Trafalgar group, a political and . When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. View live election maps by county for Michelle Lujan Grisham and Mark Ronchetti in the gubernatorial race. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican A bill that would hold adults responsible for keeping guns out of the hands of children passed the Senate largely along party lines Friday. Championship 1A District 2) Cheyenne Wells 42 vs Granada 51 (3 rd Place 1A District 2) Cheraw 34 vs McClave 62; Championship 1A District 3) La Veta 48 vs Springfield 50 (Championship 1A District 5) Otis 58 vs Stratton 71 (Championship 2A District 6) Crowley County 50 vs Holly 27 (3 rd Place 2A District 6) Hoehne 34 vs Fowler 51 (Championship 2A District 8) Simla 50 vs Limon 48 Ronchetti leads among white voters, with 47 percent of support compared to 43 percent for Lujan Grisham and 5 percent for Bedonie. However, Republicans are feeling bullish about their chances in New Mexico, thanks to a more favorable national environment in 2022. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. The poll of 806 likely voters was conducted by Public Policy Polling on Oct. 6 and 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points. Updated: Mar 3, 2023 / 09:13 AM MST. Dem. Q: What Do Turnout And Advance Vote Look Like? Mark Ronchetti is outstanding, the former Republican president wrote. Since becoming a state in 1912, it has sided with the loser of presidential elections only three times: Gerald Ford in . Twelve of this year's 33 governor's races, including New York's, are rated as toss-ups by RealClearPolitics. The poll showed Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Karen Bedonie with 3 percent of the vote and 5 percent of voters undecided. A bill that would allow people who purchase fishing or hunting licenses to round up to the nearest dollar to fund youth programs unanimously passed the state Senate on Friday. The seat has flipped between parties in the last two elections. By Margaret O'Hara, The Santa Fe New Mexican Students from Jos Eduardo Cervantes' third-grade class at Bernalillo Elementary School are in agreement: It's good to be bilingual. He was the Republican nominee for US Senate in 2020, and was defeated by Sen. Ben Ray Lujn, then-incumbent representativeforNew Mexico's 3rd Congressional District. Race for the Vaccine. March 1, 2023 - 06:54. Hall High Jazz Band to perform 65th annual Pops 'n Jazz show. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. For comparison, Survey USA has a grade of A for accuracy. New Mexico requires all absentee ballots, whether from voters in the U.S. or voters overseas, to be received by Election Day in order to be counted. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Ronchetti, meanwhile, leads among white voters with 54 percent choosing him, compared to 32 percent for Lujan Grisham and 11 percent for Bedonie. As such, 36 states are hosting gubernatorial . All rights reserved. Incumbent Democratic governor Michelle Lujan Grisham won a second term. A bill that would allow people who purchase fishing or hunting licenses to round up to the nearest dollar to fund youth programs unanimously passed the state Senate on Friday. Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo was the frontrunner according to a survey by pollster Litbang Kompas conducted in January, backed by 25.3% of the 1,202 respondents. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Democratic Primary Results. On Tuesday, FBI Director Christopher Wray told Fox News the COVID-19 pandemic was likely caused by a lab leak in Wuhan, China, a theory . With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. All Rights Reserved. All votes were tallied by 7:30 p.m. Thursday. A bill that would require new homes to be built with the capability to charge electric vehicles and would require contractors to offer solar arrays for new homes passed the House Energy, Environment and Natural Resources Committee on a 7-4 vote on Thursday. Republicans 29 seats not up for election. Michelle Lujan Grisham continues to lead the gubernatorial race, with the support of just under 50 percent of likely voters. as well as other partner offers and accept our. In the 2020 general election, nearly 85% of voters cast ballots prior to Election Day. While were still seeing COVID cases, our preparedness and collaborative work have helped turn a once-in-a-century public health emergency into a manageable situation, Lujan Grisham said in a statement on Friday. A new poll commissioned by NM Political Report shows that incumbent Gov. A handful of governors were on the ballot in 2019, 2020 and 2021, but the bulk of the nation's chief executives get elected in midterm years. The last time the president's party won New Mexico's governor's race was in 1986. The governor has accused her Republican challenger of pursuing an extremist agenda that includes banning abortion in New Mexico, which Ronchetti has denied. Fox News Flash top headlines are here. It called over 93% of races right, and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. This site built with Project Largo from INN and proudly powered by WordPress. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. New Mexicos top race pits incumbent Gov. A: New Mexico law provides for mandatory recounts if the gap between the candidates is less than 0.25% for federal, statewide, judicial races and ballot questions. Counties are colored red or blue when the percent of expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Based on their survey, they put Ronchetti in the lead with 46% of the vote compared to 45% for Gov. Published: November 8, 2022 - 6:56 AM. That includes 21 percent of registered Democrats and nearly 19 percent of registered Republicans. New Mexico. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican At the halfway point of the 60-day legislative session, New Mexico's proposed budget is halfway to the governor's desk. More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to . Wikipedia; Utah . State Rep. Linda Serrato, D-Santa Fe, called the next two years crucial to passing reproductive rights legislation. The new poll suggests the race is tightening as Election Day gets closer. 6. Polls open at 9 a.m. In this case, we happen to have a female Hispanic candidate, too, which might amplify that.. Si vous souhaitez personnaliser vos choix, cliquez sur Grer les paramtres de confidentialit. Johnson, who tried to run for Michigan governor . ABUJA (Reuters) -Nigeria's new president-elect, Bola Tinubu, on Wednesday defended the integrity of the national election that he won, and called on citizens to unite around . Notice any bugs or missing polls? APD detectives learned through witness interviews related to the shooting investigation that Pea identified individuals to funnel contributions from an unknown source to his legislative campaign, an APD news release states. Below is a list of races in this state that received in-depth coverage on Ballotpedia. Lujan Grisham won the 2018 gubernatorial campaign 57.2 percent to 42.8 percent over Steve Pearce, the Republican candidate and now chair of the Republican Party of New Mexico. New Mexico. NM Political Report (https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2022/10/10/lujan-grisham-leads-governors-race-by-8-points/). Heres a look at what to expect on election night: Polls close at 7 p.m. local time (9 p.m. During Lujan Grisham's term as governor, New Mexico's crime has surged leaving the state with the second highest crime rate and 13th-highest homicide mortality rate nationwide in 2020, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data showed. However, GOP gains in 2022 are not a given. Thats a big difference from KOBs most recent poll done in conjunction with Survey USA. In the 2nd Congressional District, Republican Rep. Yvette Herrell is running on a conservative platform of strict border security and unfettered support for the oil industry against Democratic nominee Gabe Vasquez and his campaign for more equitable access to economic opportunity, a humanitarian approach to immigration and greater accountability for climate change. Related: See Michelle Lujan Grishams approval rating. A bill to expand the scope of the New Mexico Human Rights Act to include protections for the LGBTQ community passed the House by 47-to-20. RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Poll: Lujan Grisham even approval/disapproval ratings, Slight majority of voters give thumbs up to Gov on COVID response, House passes bill to protect LGBTQ community from discrimination, Senate passes 1st major gun control law of session, Lujan Grisham to end state's COVID-19 public health emergency, APD investigating alleged political shooting mastermind's campaign finances, Lujan Grisham outlines legislative priorities at inauguration, 2022 Top Stories #4: Democrats sweep congressional races, New Mexico Democrats hold abortion rights rally in Las Cruces, Poll: Lujan Grisham leads governors race by 8 points, Poll: Lujan Grisham widens lead over Ronchetti, Legislator: Democrats have crucial time to pass reproductive legislation, Michelle Lujan Grisham wins a second-term after bruising campaign, How a new governor could impact reproductive policy, Senator: Mountain unlikely to get confirmation hearing during session, Governor nominates regents for New Mexico colleges and universities, Poll: Narrow lead for Lujan Grisham in gubernatorial race, Polls: Lujan Grisham leads by high single digits in reelection campaign; Dems lead in other key races, Poll shows majority of NM voters support abortion rights, Lujan Grisham to end states COVID-19 public health emergency, Bill supporting Game and Fish youth programs passes Senate, Bilingual education advocates push for an increased focus, opportunities, Bill requiring EV charging capabilities in new home construction advances, Another medical malpractice fix bill tabled. The poll by Public Policy Polling shows Lujan Grisham leads Ronchetti 45 percent to 42 percent, with Libertarian Karen Bedonie receiving 9 percent [] Of those polled, 52 percent of women say they will vote for Lujan Grisham, while 36 percent say they will vote for Ronchetti and 6 percent for Bedonie. Your e-mail address will be used to confirm your account. Create a password that only you will remember. Among other ethnicities, 45 percent back Lujan Grisham, 26 percent back Ronchetti and 16 percent back Bedonie. Ronchetti did really well in Farmington, but thatll be somewhat offset by the rest of the northwest region, including in McKinley County which is very Democrat, Sanderoff said. A: Counting is quick in New Mexico, with more than 98% of all votes counted by noon ET on the day after Election Day. The poll is by the Trafalgar group, a political and corporate survey company. Legal Statement. Opinion poll analysis site FiveThirtyEight gives the Trafalgar group a grade of A- when it comes to poll accuracy. If you forget it, you'll be able to recover it using your email address. It had a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points. Public Policy Polling called landlines and text messaged those without landlines. Mark [has] my Total Endorsement.. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. New Mexico Governor. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Lujan Grisham leading her Republican opponent Mark Ronchetti narrowly, 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with 1 percent backing Libertarian nominee Karen Bedonie. Gov. Among men, the race is actually a tie between Michelle Lujan Grisham and Mark Ronchetti and so women are making a difference, trusted pollster Brian Sanderoff, whose New Mexico-based firm conducted the Albuquerque Journal poll, said Monday. . From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia . The margin of error, though, is +/- 4.4 . Men very slightly favor Ronchetti, 43 percent to 42 percent over Lujan Grisham with 8 percent backing Bedonie. Its not unusual for there to be a gender gap in polling in general, he added. We won't share it with anyone else. Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham was re-elected in 2022 with 52.0% of the vote. Governor Primary. A poll released on Monday showed a closer race than two other polls released earlier in the week. By Robert Nott, The Santa Fe New Mexican When it comes to school lunches, Alejandro Najera laid it out straight for the lawmakers. New Mexico has historically been a presidential bellwether state. If youre undecided at this point, I think youre less likely to be voting for the incumbent, Sanderoff said. In 2018 and 2020, those votes after noon ET on Wednesday were slightly in favor of Democrats, but they shifted the vote totals by less than 1% of the vote. Based on that, Real Clear Politics puts Gov. ET. Three first-term congresswomen are seeking reelection as New Mexicos House delegation in newly redrawn districts that divvy up the politically conservative southeastern corner of the state a premier U.S. production zone for petroleum. President Joe Biden had a 10 percentage point margin of victory in 2020, and the state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections in 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a slim margin of less than 1% of the vote. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Democratic New Mexico Gov. While were still seeing COVID cases, our preparedness and collaborative work have helped turn a once-in-a-century public health emergency into a manageable situation, Lujan Grisham said in a statement on Friday.
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